Macro
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Détente was the enemy of the order book: Nixon's China trip and the May SALT I/ABM treaty capped strategic programs, and Vietnam was ending; procurement sat at a low plateau with only the December Linebacker bombing adding brief activity.
A quiet year of easy money and steady demand, though lingering price controls still limited our ability to file for rate relief as input costs crept higher.
Saudi Arabia and other Gulf producers concluded the General Agreement on Participation, taking initial 25% ownership of the majors' concessions from January 1973, rising over time to majority control. The deal formalized the end of pure concession oil and gave producer states a direct share of the industry's economics.
Energy sector sentiment is neutral this month, as the Gulf States' agreement to participate in 25% of oil concessions provided a modest boost but did not materially shift supply or pricing dynamics. The deal reflects continued regional coordination, yet lacks immediate impact on global production or investment flows, leaving broader market fundamentals unchanged.
Election-year boom, Nifty-Fifty euphoria and the Dow topping 1,000 in November drove robust ad spending; political ad dollars flowed. A strong, confident year for media owners.
Washington unveiled credit-backed sales of American wheat and feed grains to the USSR; the Soviets quietly bought up nearly the entire US exportable wheat surplus at subsidized prices. The 'Great Grain Robbery' emptied stocks, and grain prices roughly tripled, feeding the food-price explosion of 1973.
The July grain sale to the Soviet Union drained US stocks and ignited food and commodity inflation, a windfall for ag-input and grain owners, while a booming Nixon economy lifted metals and chemicals demand.
Atari incorporated and within months shipped Pong, the first hit video game. The company created the video-game industry, one of the fastest consumer-electronics growth stories of the decade.
The tech sector turned mildly bullish this month, buoyed by the founding of Atari and its bold bet on video games as a new consumer frontier. This move signaled growing confidence in interactive entertainment as a viable tech-driven market, reinforcing broader optimism around innovation in digital experiences. Against a backdrop of emerging personal computing, the play strengthened sentiment in the sector.
The CME's International Monetary Market began trading futures on seven currencies, the first financial futures contracts. With exchange rates newly volatile, the IMM gave businesses and speculators a hedging tool and launched the financial derivatives industry.
Dow breaks 1,000 on Nifty-Fifty euphoria
Aggressive easy-money stimulus and the re-election boom lifted capacity utilization and order books; the Soviet grain deal spurred farm-equipment demand and the Dow topped 1,000.
Burns kept money loose for Nixon's re-election, fueling a full housing boom with starts near record and strong demand; the Dow broke 1,000 in November amid broad euphoria.
The U.S. and Soviet Union are extending their grain agreement amid rising food prices driven by dwindling grain stocks and increased Soviet purchases. The relationship, marked by past embargoes and market disruptions, has significant implications for U.S. farm economies and global food markets. Renewed trade stability may support American agriculture but risks repeating past supply shocks.
Nifty-Fifty consumer euphoria at peak multiples
Peak Nifty-Fifty euphoria: Merck, Lilly, Pfizer and Upjohn traded at 40-80x earnings as steady-growth darlings, and the Dow broke 1,000. My drug franchise had never been valued so richly.