Macro
Search catalysts, news stories, and pressures, or browse the trust-weighted news feed below.
month values ▾
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.10 | +0.10 | -0.58 | -0.15 | -0.62 | +0.00 | +0.05 | -0.05 | -0.05 | -0.67 | +0.10 | +0.20 |
The finance sector is treading water despite heightened volatility from the 10-year Treasury yield reaching 5%, its highest level in 16 years, which has pressured asset valuations and increased funding costs. At the same time, the jump in 30-year mortgage rates to 8% has weighed on housing finance and consumer sentiment, but also signaled resilience in lending margins and demand for yield. These offsetting forces—bearish pressure from rising rates and modest tailwinds from spread expansion—result in a neutral sector read of -0.10.
How this mood is scored ▾
California regulators seized Silicon Valley Bank, the 16th-largest U.S. bank, due to insolvency and inadequate liquidity, appointing the FDIC as receiver. The collapse, driven by tech-sector exposure and rising interest rates, triggered a rush by depositors to withdraw funds, impacting tech firms like Roku and Roblox with significant uninsured deposits. While regulators aim to stabilize operations through a new bridge bank, the event eroded confidence in regional and tech-focused lenders, shaking financial markets.
The US government guaranteed all deposits at failed banks SVB and Signature Bank to stabilize the financial system, with the Fed introducing the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) to provide liquidity. No losses will be borne by taxpayers, as equity and bondholders absorb the impact, while regulators aim to restore confidence amid broader market concerns.
UBS is acquiring Credit Suisse for $3.2 billion in a government-brokered rescue aimed at stabilizing the global financial system, with Swiss regulators providing a $108 billion liquidity backstop and loss guarantees. The deal, structured to protect UBS shareholders while preventing systemic risk, follows massive outflows and losses at Credit Suisse amid broader banking sector turmoil. The combined entity will hold $5 trillion in assets, marking a pivotal consolidation in global finance.
UBS agreed to buy Credit Suisse for $3.24 billion in a Swiss government-backed rescue, wiping out $17 billion in AT1 bonds, sparking investor backlash and global banking sector volatility. The deal, aimed at preventing systemic collapse, transfers risk to UBS and raises concerns over contagion, regulatory credibility, and stability in global financial markets.
Credit Suisse shares dropped sharply after its largest shareholder, Saudi National Bank, ruled out further capital injections due to regulatory concerns, sparking a global banking sector selloff. The Swiss National Bank stepped in to offer liquidity support, allowing Credit Suisse to access up to $53.6 billion, amid fears of systemic risks echoing recent U.S. bank failures. The turmoil has intensified market scrutiny on bank stability and raised concerns over potential contagion across global financial markets.
Regulators seized First Republic Bank, the second-largest U.S. bank failure, and sold its deposits and assets to JPMorgan Chase to stabilize the banking system. The move follows a rapid deposit drain after the collapses of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, with JPMorgan acquiring $92 billion in deposits and $203 billion in loans, while First Republic shareholders are expected to be wiped out. The incident highlights ongoing sector vulnerabilities, though JPMorgan's CEO claims the worst of the crisis may be over.
California regulators seized First Republic Bank, the second-largest U.S. bank failure, with JPMorgan Chase assuming $92 billion in deposits and most assets. The FDIC backed the deal with loss-sharing and a $50 billion credit line, expecting $13 billion in costs. JPMorgan expects annual profit gains of over $500 million, signaling resilience in the banking sector despite recent turmoil.
The 10-year Treasury yield surged to 5%, its highest level since 2007, driven by persistent inflation concerns and strong labor data, as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell maintained a hawkish stance. Investors are demanding higher yields due to elevated term premiums and expectations of prolonged tight monetary policy. The rise in yields reflects broader market concerns over inflation, government debt supply, and potential economic slowdown.
The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate reached 8% for the first time since 2000, driven by surging Treasury yields and strong economic data. Homebuilders like D.R. Horton are offering below-market financing incentives to sustain demand, but higher rates have already caused mortgage applications to drop sharply. This trend threatens housing affordability and could weigh on home sales and construction activity.